parameters (.csv)

Download original .csv file from GitHub

parameter_name

value

Source

Unnamed: 3

0

beta

0.14379

calibrated

previously_0.115

1

unaids_prevalence_adjustment_factor

1.1

2

prob_mtct_untreated

0.22

rollins

3

prob_mtct_treated

0

rollins

4

prob_mtct_incident_preg

0.3

rollins

5

monthly_prob_mtct_bf_untreated

0.01

rollins

6

monthly_prob_mtct_bf_treated

0

rollins

7

rr_fsw

25

8

rr_circumcision

0.4

hallett2008

9

rr_rural

0.52

wingston_dhs_analysis

10

rr_windex_poorer

0.96

wingston_dhs_analysis

11

rr_windex_middle

1.18

wingston_dhs_analysis

12

rr_windex_richer

1.19

wingston_dhs_analysis

13

rr_windex_richest

1.56

wingston_dhs_analysis

14

rr_sex_f

1.43

wingston_dhs_analysis

15

rr_edlevel_primary

1.18

wingston_dhs_analysis

16

rr_edlevel_secondary

1.15

wingston_dhs_analysis

17

rr_edlevel_higher

1

wingston_dhs_analysis

18

rr_schisto

2.3

Patel et al 2021

19

rr_behaviour_change

0.75

20

proportion_reduction_in_risk_of_hiv_aq_if_on_prep

0.9

21

mean_months_between_aids_and_death

18

Assumption

22

mean_months_between_aids_and_death_infant

6

Assumption

23

infection_to_death_weibull_shape_1519

2

Todd et al. 2007 & Hallett et al 2008 PLoS Med

24

infection_to_death_weibull_shape_2024

2

25

infection_to_death_weibull_shape_2529

2

26

infection_to_death_weibull_shape_3034

2

27

infection_to_death_weibull_shape_3539

2

28

infection_to_death_weibull_shape_4044

2

29

infection_to_death_weibull_shape_4549

2

30

infection_to_death_weibull_scale_1519

16

31

infection_to_death_weibull_scale_2024

15.4

32

infection_to_death_weibull_scale_2529

14.1

33

infection_to_death_weibull_scale_3034

12.1

34

infection_to_death_weibull_scale_3539

11

35

infection_to_death_weibull_scale_4044

10.01

36

infection_to_death_weibull_scale_4549

7.9

37

art_default_to_aids_mean_years

5

38

prop_delayed_aids_onset

0.3

39

mean_survival_for_infants_infected_prior_to_birth

1.08

ferrand

40

infection_to_death_infant_infection_after_birth_weibull_scale

16

ferrand

41

infection_to_death_infant_infection_after_birth_weibull_shape

2.7

ferrand

42

rr_test_hiv_positive

1.1

43

hiv_testing_rate_adjustment

0.75

44

treatment_initiation_adjustment

1

45

vs_adjustment

1

46

prob_hiv_test_at_anc_or_delivery

0.95

47

prob_hiv_test_for_newborn_infant

0.95

48

prob_behav_chg_after_hiv_test

0.5

49

prob_prep_for_fsw_after_hiv_test

0.05

50

prob_prep_for_agyw

0

51

prob_circ_after_hiv_test

0.05

52

increase_in_prob_circ_2019

3

53

probability_of_being_retained_on_prep_every_3_months

0.5

54

probability_of_being_retained_on_art_every_3_months

0.95

55

probability_of_seeking_further_art_appointment_if_drug_not_available

0.9

56

probability_of_seeking_further_art_appointment_if_appointment_not_available

0.9

57

prep_start_year

2018

58

ART_age_cutoff_young_child

1

59

ART_age_cutoff_older_child

10

60

rel_probability_art_baseline_aids

10

61

aids_tb_treatment_adjustment

0.5

62

prob_circ_for_child_before_2020

0.0128

This is estimated using DHIS2 vmmc cases and world bank population data 2015-2019.

63

prob_circ_for_child_from_2020

0.0008

From 2020 on, as indicated by DHIS2 data and PEPFAR 2020 Country Operational Plan, the <15 yrs circ cases should decline dramatically. The probability derived from 2020-2022 data is 0.0008, using the same estimation method.

64

hiv_healthseekingbehaviour_cap

5

65

dispensation_period_months

3

66

length_of_inpatient_stay_if_terminal

[14,20]

67

type_of_scaleup

none

68

scaleup_start_year

2025

69

interval_for_viral_load_measurement_months

24