parameter values (.csv)

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	parameter_name	value	param_label	prior_min	prior_max	prior_note	reference	notes
0	init_pr_depr_m_age1519_no_cc_wealth123	0.06	local	0.01	1	vague prior
1	init_rp_depr_f_not_rec_preg	1.5	local	0.01	100	vague prior
2	init_rp_depr_f_rec_preg	3	local	0.01	100	vague prior
3	init_rp_depr_age2059	1	local	0.01	100	vague prior
4	init_rp_depr_agege60	3	local	0.01	100	vague prior
5	init_rp_depr_cc	1	local	0.01	100	vague prior
6	init_rp_depr_wealth45	1	local	0.01	100	vague prior
7	init_rp_ever_depr_per_year_older_m	0.004	local	0.01	100	vague prior
8	init_rp_ever_depr_per_year_older_f	0.006	local	0.01	100	vague prior
9	init_pr_antidepr_curr_depr	0.11	local	0	1	vague prior
10	init_rp_antidepr_ever_depr_not_curr	0.5	local	0.01	100	vague prior
11	init_pr_ever_diagnosed_depression	0.2	local	0	1	vague prior
12	init_pr_ever_talking_therapy_if_diagnosed	1	local	0	1	vague prior		We assume that talking therapy happens as part of diagnosis
13	init_pr_ever_self_harmed_if_ever_depr	0.004	local	0	1	vague prior		consistent with rate of incident self harm
14	base_3m_prob_depr	0.0021	undetermined	0	1	calibration		Rate is derived indirectly based on prevalence of depression that model produces as an output (Abas et al, 1997; Marwick et al, 2010; Udedi et al, 2014; This is much higher than incidence in Todd et al 1999 (approx 0.16 in 2 months) but that is inconsistent with prevalence unless extremely short duration. )
15	rr_depr_wealth45	3	local	0.01	100	vague prior	Abas et al, 1997; Todd et al 1999; Chibanda et al, 2012;	Abas et al, 1997; Todd et al 1999; Chibanda et al, 2012;
16	rr_depr_cc	1.25	local	0.01	100	vague prior		HIV: Cohen et al Rwanda 2009; Brandt 2009; hypertension: no association in SA Grimsrud et al 2009. Likely the association is with chronic symptoms rather than diagnosis of a chronic condition.
17	rr_depr_pregnancy	3	local	0.01	100	vague prior		could not identify any estimates for African countries; although clear that pregnancy prevalence is relatively high in pregnancy and post-partum (it is clear the relative rate is > 1). Suggest use value of 3 until we have more data.
18	rr_depr_female	1.5	local	0.01	100	vague prior	Kohler et al 2017	Kohler et al 2017
19	rr_depr_prev_epis	50	local	0.01	100	vague prior		No data identified from Malawi or other close countries, but likely to be a large person-specific effect. Consider data on proportion of people with depression ever.
20	rr_depr_on_antidepr	30	local	0.01	100	vague prior
21	rr_depr_age1519	1	local	0.01	100	vague prior	Kim et al 2015	Kim et al 2015
22	rr_depr_agege60	3	local	0.01	100	vague prior	Kohler et al 2017	Kohler et al 2017
23	rr_depr_hiv	1.99	local	0.01	100	vague prior	Ciesla & Roberts 2001	Ciesla & Roberts 2001
24	depr_resolution_rates	[0.2, 0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.95]	local	[0, 0, 0, 0, 0]	[1, 1, 1, 1, 1]	vague prior	Abas et al, 1997; Dow et al 2014	Abas et al, 1997; Dow et al 2014
25	rr_resol_depr_cc	0.5	local	0.01	100	vague prior
26	rr_resol_depr_on_antidepr	1.5	universal	0.01	100	vague prior	Hengartner 2017; Cipriani et al 2018; Furukawa et al 2016;Faria et 2017; Kirsch 2014;	Hengartner 2017; Cipriani et al 2018; Furukawa et al 2016;Faria et 2017; Kirsch 2014;
27	rr_resol_depr_current_talk_ther	1.1	local	0.01	100	vague prior
28	prob_3m_stop_antidepr	0.7	local	0	1	vague prior
29	prob_3m_default_antidepr	0.2	local	0	1	vague prior
30	prob_3m_suicide_depr_m	0.0005	local	0	1	vague prior	Chasimpha et al 2015 to be infered based on overall suicide rate and prevalence of depression (assume depression a pre-requisite for suicide) Suicide rate in adults in Karonga study 26.1 per 100,000 person years in adult men (age ge 15) and 8.0 per 100,000 person years in adult women. Chasimpha et al BMC Public Health 2015	Chasimpha et al 2015 to be infered based on overall suicide rate and prevalence of depression (assume depression a pre-requisite for suicide) Suicide rate in adults in Karonga study 26.1 per 100,000 person years in adult men (age ge 15) and 8.0 per 100,000 person years in adult women. Chasimpha et al BMC Public Health 2015
31	rr_suicide_depr_f	0.333	local	0.01	100	vague prior	Chasimpha et al 2015	Chasimpha et al 2015
32	prob_3m_selfharm_depr	0.0005	local	0	1	vague prior
33	sensitivity_of_assessment_of_depression	0.75	universal	0	1	vague prior
34	pr_assessed_for_depression_in_generic_appt_level1	0.01	local	0	1	vague prior		No available reference found, but co-calibrated with pr_assessed_for_depression_for_perinatal_female for a better Model/Data ratio on mental health service usage.
35	anti_depressant_medication_item_code	267	local	1	1000	vague prior		First line treatment (Amitriptyline 25mg_100_CMST)
36	pr_assessed_for_depression_for_perinatal_female	0.01	local	0	1	vague prior		No available reference found, but co-calibrated with pr_assessed_for_depression_in_generic_appt_level1 for a better Model/Data ratio on mental health service usage.
37	recently_pregnant_threshold_years	1	undetermined	1	5	design decision
38	max_talking_therapy_sessions	5	local	1	20	vague prior
39	talking_therapy_interval_months	6	local	1	24	vague prior
40	antidepr_refill_interval_months	1	local	1	24	vague prior
41	antidepr_refill_window_days	7	local	1	30	vague prior
42	selfharm_suicide_event_max_days	90	undetermined	1	365	design decision
43	depression_polling_frequency_months	3	undetermined	1	12	design decision
44	age_threshold_adult_care	5	local	0	20	vague prior
45	age_threshold_depression	15	local	5	20	vague prior