PregnancySupervisor (.xlsx) =========================== :download:`Download original .xlsx file from GitHub ` .. contents:: parameter_values ---------------- ==== ================================================ ================================================================================ ================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================= =================================================================================================================================================================== .. parameter\_name value Primary Source (or calibration data) Unnamed: 3 ==== ================================================ ================================================================================ ================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================= =================================================================================================================================================================== 0 prob\_ectopic\_pregnancy [0.01, 0.01] [0.004937, 0.00366] Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (2019) GBD Results Tool | GHDx, 2019. Available at: http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool (Accessed: 6 July 2021). 1 prob\_care\_seeking\_ectopic\_pre\_rupture [0.08, 0.08] Flores, A. H. et al. (2015) ‘Frequency of utilisation of ultrasound in the diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy in Sub-Saharan Africa countries: A systematic review’, in African Journal of Emergency Medicine. African Federation for Emergency Medicine, pp. 31–36. doi: 10.1016/j.afjem.2014.08.001. 2 prob\_ectopic\_pregnancy\_death [0.02, 0.012] Ministry of Health Malawi et al. (2010) Malawi 2010 EmONC Needs Assessment Final Report. Ministry of Health Malawi et al. (2015) Malawi Emergency Obstetric and Newborn Care Needs Assessment, 2014. 3 4 prob\_multiples [0.0399, 0.0399] Monden, C. W. S. and Smits, J. (2017) ‘Mortality among twins and singletons in sub-Saharan Africa between 1995 and 2014: a pooled analysis of data from 90 Demographic and Health Surveys in 30 countries’, The Lancet Global Health. Elsevier Ltd, 5(7), pp. e673–e679. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(17)30197-3. 5 6 prob\_placenta\_praevia [0.005,0.0058] Senkoro, E. E. et al. (2017) ‘Frequency, Risk Factors, and Adverse Fetomaternal Outcomes of Placenta Previa in Northern Tanzania’, Journal of Pregnancy. Hindawi Limited, 2017. doi: 10.1155/2017/5936309. 7 rr\_placenta\_praevia\_previous\_cs [1.47,1.47] Yang, Q. et al. (2007) ‘Association of caesarean delivery for first birth with placenta praevia and placental abruption in second pregnancy’, BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology. BJOG, 114(5), pp. 609–613. doi: 10.1111/j.1471-0528.2007.01295.x. 8 9 prob\_syphilis\_during\_pregnancy [0.028, 0.028] Malawi Integrated HIV Program Reports 10 11 prob\_previous\_miscarriage\_at\_baseline 0.047 National Statistical Office (NSO) [Malawi], ICF. Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 2015-16. Zomba, Malawi, and Rockville, Maryland, USA: NSO and ICF, 2017 12 prob\_spontaneous\_abortion\_per\_month [[0.025, 0.037, 0.05, 0.037, 0.025], [0.025, 0.037, 0.05, 0.037, 0.025]] Levandowski, B. A. et al. (2013) The Incidence of Induced Abortion in Malawi, Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health. Available at: https://www.jstor.org/stable/41959960 (Accessed: 5 July 2021). Polis, C. B. et al. (2017) ‘Incidence of induced abortion in Malawi, 2015’, PLoS ONE. Public Library of Science, 12(4). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0173639. 13 rr\_spont\_abortion\_age\_35 [4, 4] Dellicour, S. et al. (2016) ‘Weekly miscarriage rates in a community-based prospective cohort study in rural western Kenya’, BMJ Open, 6(4). doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011088. 14 rr\_spont\_abortion\_age\_31\_34 [2.31, 2.31] Dellicour, S. et al. (2016) ‘Weekly miscarriage rates in a community-based prospective cohort study in rural western Kenya’, BMJ Open, 6(4). doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011088. 15 rr\_spont\_abortion\_prev\_sa [2.23, 2.23] Dellicour, S. et al. (2016) ‘Weekly miscarriage rates in a community-based prospective cohort study in rural western Kenya’, BMJ Open, 6(4). doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011088. 16 prob\_complicated\_sa [0.11, 0.11] Levandowski, B. A. et al. (2013) The Incidence of Induced Abortion in Malawi, Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health. Available at: https://www.jstor.org/stable/41959960 (Accessed: 5 July 2021). Polis, C. B. et al. (2017) ‘Incidence of induced abortion in Malawi, 2015’, PLoS ONE. Public Library of Science, 12(4). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0173639. 17 prob\_induced\_abortion\_per\_month [0.038, 0.038] Levandowski, B. A. et al. (2013) The Incidence of Induced Abortion in Malawi, Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health. Available at: https://www.jstor.org/stable/41959960 (Accessed: 5 July 2021). Polis, C. B. et al. (2017) ‘Incidence of induced abortion in Malawi, 2015’, PLoS ONE. Public Library of Science, 12(4). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0173639. 18 prob\_complicated\_ia [0.37 ,0.37] Levandowski, B. A. et al. (2013) The Incidence of Induced Abortion in Malawi, Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health. Available at: https://www.jstor.org/stable/41959960 (Accessed: 5 July 2021). Polis, C. B. et al. (2017) ‘Incidence of induced abortion in Malawi, 2015’, PLoS ONE. Public Library of Science, 12(4). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0173639. 19 prob\_haemorrhage\_post\_abortion [0.23, 0.23] The magnitude and severity of abortion-related morbidity in settings with limited access to abortion services: a systematic review and meta-regression’, BMJ Global Health. BMJ Publishing Group, 3(3), p. e000692. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2017-000692. 20 prob\_sepsis\_post\_abortion [0.137, 0.137] Kalilani-Phiri, L. et al. (2015) ‘The severity of abortion complications in Malawi’, International Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics. Elsevier Ireland Ltd, 128(2), pp. 160–164. doi: 10.1016/j.ijgo.2014.08.022. 21 prob\_injury\_post\_abortion [0.056, 0.056] Kalilani-Phiri, L. et al. (2015) ‘The severity of abortion complications in Malawi’, International Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics. Elsevier Ireland Ltd, 128(2), pp. 160–164. doi: 10.1016/j.ijgo.2014.08.022. 22 prob\_spontaneous\_abortion\_death [0.01, 0.005] Ministry of Health Malawi et al. (2010) Malawi 2010 EmONC Needs Assessment Final Report. Ministry of Health Malawi et al. (2015) Malawi Emergency Obstetric and Newborn Care Needs Assessment, 2014. 23 prob\_induced\_abortion\_death [0.005, 0.0025] Ministry of Health Malawi et al. (2010) Malawi 2010 EmONC Needs Assessment Final Report. Ministry of Health Malawi et al. (2015) Malawi Emergency Obstetric and Newborn Care Needs Assessment, 2014. 24 25 26 baseline\_prob\_anaemia\_per\_month [0.1, 0.12] National Statistical Office (NSO), ICF Macro. Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 2010. Zomba, Malawi, and Calverton, Maryland, USA: NSO and ICF Macro, 2011. National Statistical Office (NSO) [Malawi], ICF. Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 2015-16. Zomba, Malawi, and Rockville, Maryland, USA: NSO and ICF, 2017 27 rr\_anaemia\_maternal\_malaria [1.45, 1.45] 28 rr\_anaemia\_hiv\_no\_art [4.19, 4.19] 29 prob\_mild\_mod\_sev\_anaemia [[0.52,0.475, 0.005], [0.50, 0.46, 0.04]] National Statistical Office (NSO), ICF Macro. Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 2010. Zomba, Malawi, and Calverton, Maryland, USA: NSO and ICF Macro, 2011. National Statistical Office (NSO) [Malawi], ICF. Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 2015-16. Zomba, Malawi, and Rockville, Maryland, USA: NSO and ICF, 2017 30 31 prob\_gest\_diab\_per\_month [0.0056, 0.0056] Phiri, T. J., Kasiya, M. and Allain, T. (2019) Full Prevalence Of Gestational Diabetes In Urban Women In Blantyre, Malawi: A Cross Sectional Study And Comparison Of Who And IADPSG Criteria. doi: 10.21203/rs.2.13491/v1. 32 rr\_gest\_diab\_obesity [3.97, 3.97] Santos, S. et al. (2019) ‘Impact of maternal body mass index and gestational weight gain on pregnancy complications: an individual participant data meta-analysis of European, North American and Australian cohorts’, BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology. Blackwell Publishing Ltd, 126(8), pp. 984–995. doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.15661. 33 34 prob\_gest\_htn\_per\_month [0.0073, 0.0073] [0.0084, 0.0083] 35 rr\_gest\_htn\_obesity [3.31, 3.31] 36 prob\_pre\_eclampsia\_per\_month [0.0065,0.0065] [0.00825,0.00825] 37 rr\_pre\_eclampsia\_obesity [3.2, 3.2] 38 rr\_pre\_eclampsia\_multiple\_pregnancy [4.07, 4.07] 39 rr\_pre\_eclampsia\_chronic\_htn [2.26, 2.26] 40 rr\_pre\_eclampsia\_diabetes\_mellitus [3.7, 3.7] 41 probs\_for\_mgh\_matrix [[0.918, 0.032, 0.05, 0, 0], [0.918, 0.032, 0.05, 0, 0]] [[0.686, 0.264, 0.05, 0, 0], [0.686, 0.264, 0.05, 0, 0]] [[0.884, 0.066, 0.05, 0, 0], [0.884, 0.066, 0.05, 0, 0]] 42 probs\_for\_sgh\_matrix [[0, 0.87, 0, 0.13, 0], [0, 0.87, 0, 0.13, 0]] 43 probs\_for\_mpe\_matrix [[0, 0, 0.78, 0.22, 0], [0, 0, 0.78, 0.22, 0]] [[0, 0, 0.89, 0.11, 0], [0, 0, 0.89, 0.11, 0]] 44 probs\_for\_spe\_matrix [[0, 0, 0, 0.16, 0.84], [0, 0, 0, 0.16, 0.84]] [[0, 0, 0, 0.868, 0.132], [0, 0, 0, 0.868, 0.132]] 45 probs\_for\_ec\_matrix [[0, 0, 0, 0, 1], [0, 0, 0, 0, 1]] 46 prob\_severe\_pre\_eclampsia\_death [0.018, 0.018] 47 prob\_eclampsia\_death [0.028, 0.03] 48 prob\_monthly\_death\_severe\_htn [0.0001, 0.0001] N/A 49 50 prob\_placental\_abruption\_per\_month [0.0005, 0.0005] 51 rr\_placental\_abruption\_hypertension [2.2, 2.2] 52 rr\_placental\_abruption\_previous\_cs [1.3, 1.3] 53 54 prob\_aph\_placenta\_praevia [0.09, 0.09] [0.0865, 0.0865] 55 prob\_aph\_placental\_abruption [0.9, 0.9] 56 prob\_mod\_sev\_aph [[0.8, 0.2], [0.8, 0.2]] [[0.4, 0.6], [0.4, 0.6]] 57 prob\_antepartum\_haemorrhage\_death [0.11, 0.04] 58 59 prob\_prom\_per\_month [0.0064, 0.0064] [0.0064, 0.0064] 60 61 prob\_chorioamnionitis [0.015, 0.013] 62 prob\_antenatal\_sepsis\_death [0.75, 0.49] [0.5, 0.415] 63 64 baseline\_prob\_early\_labour\_onset [[0.0008, 0.0033,0.017, 0.04], [0.0008, 0.0033,0.017, 0.04]] 65 rr\_preterm\_labour\_post\_prom [5.9, 5.9] 66 rr\_preterm\_labour\_anaemia [4.58, 4.58] 67 rr\_preterm\_labour\_malaria [3.08, 3.08] 68 rr\_preterm\_labour\_multiple\_pregnancy [3.44, 3.44] 69 70 prob\_still\_birth\_per\_month [0.0031, 0.0026] 71 rr\_still\_birth\_ga\_41 [2.24, 2.24] 72 rr\_still\_birth\_ga\_42 [3.88, 3.88] 73 rr\_still\_birth\_ga\_>42 [6.94, 6.94] 74 rr\_still\_birth\_gest\_diab [3.91, 3.91] 75 rr\_still\_birth\_diab\_mellitus [3.52, 3.52] 76 rr\_still\_birth\_maternal\_malaria [1.81, 1.81] 77 rr\_still\_birth\_maternal\_syphilis [6.87, 6.87] 78 rr\_still\_birth\_pre\_eclampsia [4.15, 4.15] 79 rr\_still\_birth\_eclampsia [4.15, 4.15] 80 rr\_still\_birth\_gest\_htn [1.21, 1.21] 81 rr\_still\_birth\_chronic\_htn [2.32, 2.23] 82 rr\_still\_birth\_aph [2.1, 2.1] 83 rr\_still\_birth\_chorio [2, 2] https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14767058.2020.1852206 84 85 prob\_seek\_care\_pregnancy\_complication [0.782, 0.782] Chinkhumba, J. et al. (2017) ‘Household costs and time to seek care for pregnancy related complications: The role of results-based financing’, PLOS ONE. Public Library of Science, 12(9), p. e0182326. doi: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0182326. 86 prob\_seek\_care\_pregnancy\_loss [0.782, 0.782] Chinkhumba, J. et al. (2017) ‘Household costs and time to seek care for pregnancy related complications: The role of results-based financing’, PLOS ONE. Public Library of Science, 12(9), p. e0182326. doi: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0182326. 87 prob\_seek\_care\_induction [0.2, 0.2] N/A 88 89 prob\_anc1\_months\_2\_to\_4 [[0.165, 0.165, 0.67], [0.165, 0.364, 0.471]] National Statistical Office (NSO), ICF Macro. Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 2010. Zomba, Malawi, and Calverton, Maryland, USA: NSO and ICF Macro, 2011. National Statistical Office (NSO) [Malawi], ICF. Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 2015-16. Zomba, Malawi, and Rockville, Maryland, USA: NSO and ICF, 2017 90 prob\_anc1\_months\_5\_to\_9 [[0.345, 0.245, 0.28, 0.015, 0.015, 0.1], [0.41, 0.25, 0.21, 0.015, 0.015, 0.1]] As above. 91 odds\_early\_init\_anc4 [0.32, 0.58] As above. 92 aor\_early\_anc4\_20\_24 [1.26, 1.26] As above. 93 aor\_early\_anc4\_25\_29 [1.44, 1.44] As above. 94 aor\_early\_anc4\_30\_34 [1.49, 1.49] As above. 95 aor\_early\_anc4\_35\_39 [1.64, 1.64] As above. 96 aor\_early\_anc4\_40\_44 [1.51, 1.51] As above. 97 aor\_early\_anc4\_45\_49 [1.91, 1.91] As above. 98 aor\_early\_anc4\_2010 [1.51, 1.51] As above. 99 aor\_early\_anc4\_2015 [2.03, 2.03] As above. 100 aor\_early\_anc4\_parity\_2\_3 [0.74, 0.74] As above. 101 aor\_early\_anc4\_parity\_4\_5 [0.65, 0.65] As above. 102 aor\_early\_anc4\_parity\_6+ [0.61, 0.61] As above. 103 aor\_early\_anc4\_secondary\_edu [1.24, 1.24] As above. 104 aor\_early\_anc4\_tertiary\_edu [2.64, 2.64] As above. 105 aor\_early\_anc4\_richest\_wealth [1.32, 1.32] As above. 106 prob\_late\_initiation\_anc4 [0.3, 0.29] [0.215, 0.143] 107 prob\_early\_initiation\_anc\_below4 [0.115, 0.101] As above. 108 prob\_early\_anc\_at\_facility\_level\_1\_2 [[0.5, 0.5], [0.5, 0.5]] N/A 109 110 treatment\_effect\_ectopic\_pregnancy\_treatment [0.1, 0.1] 111 treatment\_effect\_post\_abortion\_care [0.2, 0.2] 112 treatment\_effect\_iron\_folic\_acid\_anaemia [0.3, 0.3] 113 treatment\_effect\_calcium\_pre\_eclamp [0.45, 0.45] 114 treatment\_effect\_gest\_htn\_calcium [0.65, 0.65] 115 treatment\_effect\_anti\_htns\_progression [0.49, 0.49] 116 prob\_glycaemic\_control\_diet\_exercise [0.5, 0.5] N/A 117 prob\_glycaemic\_control\_orals [0.936, 0.936] Glibenclamide, metformin, and insulin for the treatment of gestational diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 118 treatment\_effect\_gdm\_case\_management [0.9, 0.9] 119 treatment\_effect\_still\_birth\_food\_sups [0.6, 0.6] 120 121 anc\_service\_structure 8 N/A 122 ps\_analysis\_in\_progress False 123 alternative\_anc\_coverage False 124 alternative\_anc\_quality False 125 anc\_availability\_odds 9 126 anc\_availability\_probability 0.9 127 alternative\_ip\_anc\_quality False 128 ip\_anc\_availability\_probability 0.9 129 sens\_analysis\_min False 130 sens\_analysis\_max False 131 analysis\_year 2023 ==== ================================================ ================================================================================ ================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================= ===================================================================================================================================================================